Willem II vs Twente - Eredivisie - Journee 11 - samedi 2 novembre 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)
Score final : Willem II 0-1 Twente
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Twente favori avec 53% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Willem II, 1.6 pour Twente. Twente a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Willem II | 20% | 3,05 | -13,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,10 | -5,0% |
| Victoire Twente ✓ | 53% | 2,22 | +8,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,55 | -3,0% |
| Twente marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,14 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,91 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,26 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,92 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,14 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,73 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,34 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Willem II vs Twente :
| Statistique | Willem II | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,76 | 1,63 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 7 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 1 | 6 |
| Corners | 4 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 32 | 62 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 | 0.69 | WLLWDL | 2.8/10 |
| Twente | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 18 | 1.63 | WWWLDW | 7.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Willem II has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Willem II has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Willem II recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Willem II has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/10 games for Willem II this season.
Willem II will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 1.1 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Twente has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Twente has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Twente when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Willem II stop this run?
Twente est sur une bonne dynamique et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Twente has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Willem II get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for Twente, both home and away.
Twente has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Twente will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Willem II, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Twente has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/10 games for Twente this season.
It's likely that Twente will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Willem II a perdu contre Twente 0-1 en Eredivisie le samedi 2 novembre 2024 à 15:30 au Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg). xG du match : 0.8 pour Willem II, 1.6 pour Twente. Possession : 47% pour Willem II, 53% pour Twente. Tirs : 7 (dont 1 cadré) pour Willem II, 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Twente. Indice de forme : Willem II 2.8/10, Twente 7.5/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Willem II, 6 nuls, 6 victoires Twente.
Score final : Willem II 0-1 Twente. L'algorithme avait prevu Twente (53%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.