Frosinone vs Palermo - Serie B - Journee 13 - vendredi 8 novembre 2024 à 19:30
Stade : Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)
Score final : Frosinone 1-1 Palermo
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Palermo favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme avait prévu Palermo favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.7 pour Frosinone, 1.6 pour Palermo. Palermo a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Frosinone | 29% | 8,56 | +17,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 34% | 2,83 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Palermo | 37% | 1,56 | -27,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,36 | -8,0% |
| Palermo marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,30 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,77 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,91 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,38 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 1,95 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 21% | 3,75 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,75 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,25 | -1,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Frosinone vs Palermo :
| Statistique | Frosinone | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,71 | 1,55 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 39% | 61% |
| Tirs | 6 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 1 | 8 |
| Corners | 5 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 35 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -10 | 9 | 1.17 | WLLDDD | 3.2/10 |
| Palermo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 | 1.21 | WLDWDL | 4.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Frosinone has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Frosinone has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Frosinone has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Can Frosinone turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Frosinone recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Frosinone has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 58% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Frosinone has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/12 games for Frosinone this season.
Coming into this game, Palermo has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Palermo has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Palermo away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Palermo recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Palermo has fired blanks in 6 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Palermo has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/12 games for Palermo this season.
Palermo will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1 goals per game.
Frosinone a fait match nul contre Palermo 1-1 en Serie B le vendredi 8 novembre 2024 à 19:30 au Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone). xG du match : 0.7 pour Frosinone, 1.6 pour Palermo. Possession : 39% pour Frosinone, 61% pour Palermo. Tirs : 6 (dont 1 cadré) pour Frosinone, 11 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Palermo. Indice de forme : Frosinone 3.2/10, Palermo 4.1/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Frosinone, 2 nuls, 4 victoires Palermo.
Score final : Frosinone 1-1 Palermo. L'algorithme avait prevu Palermo (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.