Modena vs Carrarese - Serie B - Journee 13 - samedi 9 novembre 2024 à 14:00
Stade : Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)
Score final : Modena 2-0 Carrarese
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Modena favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Modena, 0.7 pour Carrarese. Modena a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Modena ✓ | 41% | 1,90 | -12,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Carrarese | 27% | 4,33 | +4,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modena marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,22 | -7,0% |
| Carrarese marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 66% | 1,65 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,05 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,67 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,42 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,16 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 4,20 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,62 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,22 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Modena vs Carrarese :
| Statistique | Modena | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,02 | 0,68 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 44% | 56% |
| Tirs | 9 | 5 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 1 |
| Corners | 4 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 32 | 38 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 | 1.17 | LDDLDL | 1.4/10 |
| Carrarese | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 | 0.99 | DWDWDD | 6.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Modena has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Modena has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Modena has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Carrarese's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Modena from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Can Modena turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Modena recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Modena, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (67% of all matches) involving Modena has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Carrarese has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Carrarese has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Carrarese has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Carrarese as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Carrarese has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Carrarese is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Modena, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Carrarese ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Carrarese has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Carrarese has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/12 games for Carrarese this season.
Carrarese will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 5 times and overall this season they have scored 0.92 goals per game.
Modena a battu Carrarese 2-0 en Serie B le samedi 9 novembre 2024 à 14:00 au Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena). xG du match : 1.0 pour Modena, 0.7 pour Carrarese. Possession : 44% pour Modena, 56% pour Carrarese. Tirs : 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Modena, 5 (dont 1 cadré) pour Carrarese. Indice de forme : Modena 1.4/10, Carrarese 6.1/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Modena, 0 nul, 0 victoire Carrarese.
Score final : Modena 2-0 Carrarese. L'algorithme avait prevu Modena (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.