Coventry City vs Derby County - Championship - Journee 14 - mercredi 6 novembre 2024 à 19:45
Stade : The Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry, West Midlands)
Score final : Coventry City 1-2 Derby County
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Coventry City favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Coventry City favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Coventry City, 0.5 pour Derby County. Coventry City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Coventry City | 45% | 1,83 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,61 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Derby County ✓ | 24% | 4,13 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,18 | -9,0% |
| Derby County marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,48 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,83 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,83 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,30 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 1,89 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 22% | 3,40 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,91 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Coventry City vs Derby County :
| Statistique | Coventry City | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,2 | 0,52 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 70% | 30% |
| Tirs | 8 | 3 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 1 |
| Corners | 9 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 66 | 34 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 1.35 | WLLDWW | 5.9/10 |
| Derby County | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 15 | 1.06 | LWDDDL | 3.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Coventry City has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Coventry City has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Derby County's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Coventry City from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Coventry City a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
In the last 5 matches for Coventry City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (58% of all matches) involving Coventry City has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Derby County has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Derby County has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Derby County has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Derby County as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Derby County ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Derby County will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Coventry City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Derby County, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (50% of all matches) involving Derby County has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Derby County will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Coventry City a perdu contre Derby County 1-2 en Championship le mercredi 6 novembre 2024 à 19:45 au The Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry, West Midlands). xG du match : 1.2 pour Coventry City, 0.5 pour Derby County. Possession : 70% pour Coventry City, 30% pour Derby County. Tirs : 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Coventry City, 3 (dont 1 cadré) pour Derby County. Indice de forme : Coventry City 5.9/10, Derby County 3.3/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Coventry City, 5 nuls, 4 victoires Derby County.
Score final : Coventry City 1-2 Derby County. L'algorithme avait prevu Coventry City (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.