Derby County vs Plymouth Argyle - Championship - Journee 15 - samedi 9 novembre 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Score final : Derby County 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Derby County favori avec 58% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme avait prévu Derby County favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Derby County, 0.4 pour Plymouth Argyle. Derby County a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Derby County | 58% | 1,73 | 0,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 26% | 4,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Plymouth Argyle | 16% | 4,33 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,14 | -7,0% |
| Plymouth Argyle marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,48 | -17,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 1,80 | -15,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,91 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,25 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 1,77 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 21% | 3,00 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,98 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,38 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Derby County vs Plymouth Argyle :
| Statistique | Derby County | Plymouth Argyle |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,33 | 0,4 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 11 | 2 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 8 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 48 | 15 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 1.02 | WDDDLW | 5.2/10 |
| Plymouth Argyle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 15 | 0.99 | WLLDLW | 2.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Derby County has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Derby County has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Derby County has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Derby County aura la confiance nécessaire pour marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record d'avoir marqué lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Derby County has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 6 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 7 games for Derby County ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Derby County will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Plymouth Argyle, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Derby County, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (54% of all matches) involving Derby County has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Derby County will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Plymouth Argyle has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Plymouth Argyle has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Plymouth Argyle recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Plymouth Argyle has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Plymouth Argyle has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/14 games for Plymouth Argyle this season.
Derby County a fait match nul contre Plymouth Argyle 1-1 en Championship le samedi 9 novembre 2024 à 15:00 au Pride Park Stadium (Derby). xG du match : 1.3 pour Derby County, 0.4 pour Plymouth Argyle. Possession : 53% pour Derby County, 47% pour Plymouth Argyle. Tirs : 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Derby County, 2 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Plymouth Argyle. Indice de forme : Derby County 5.2/10, Plymouth Argyle 2.9/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Derby County, 0 nul, 3 victoires Plymouth Argyle.
Score final : Derby County 1-1 Plymouth Argyle. L'algorithme avait prevu Derby County (58%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.