Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 21 - samedi 11 janvier 2025 à 19:45
Stade : Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)
Score final : Sporting Charleroi 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Union Saint-Gilloise favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Sporting Charleroi, 1.2 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Union Saint-Gilloise a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting Charleroi | 28% | 3,26 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,61 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise ✓ | 41% | 2,08 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Charleroi marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,35 | -5,0% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,68 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,00 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,28 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,94 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 3,20 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,80 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,33 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise :
| Statistique | Sporting Charleroi | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,02 | 1,17 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 6 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 1 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 48 | 59 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Charleroi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 27 | 1.45 | LDWLWW | 5.7/10 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | +10 | 31 | 1.46 | DWDWDW | 7.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting Charleroi has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sporting Charleroi has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting Charleroi has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Union Saint-Gilloise's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Sporting Charleroi from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Le Sporting Charleroi a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Sporting Charleroi will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Union Saint-Gilloise, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Sporting Charleroi has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Sporting Charleroi, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (35% of all matches) involving Sporting Charleroi has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Union Saint-Gilloise away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Union Saint-Gilloise has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Sporting Charleroi get in on the action today? There has been a total of 15 goals in the last 5 games for Union Saint-Gilloise, both home and away.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sporting Charleroi, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (50% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
Sporting Charleroi a perdu contre Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 en Jupiler Pro League le samedi 11 janvier 2025 à 19:45 au Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi). xG du match : 1.0 pour Sporting Charleroi, 1.2 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Possession : 48% pour Sporting Charleroi, 52% pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Tirs : 6 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Sporting Charleroi, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Indice de forme : Sporting Charleroi 5.7/10, Union Saint-Gilloise 7.2/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Sporting Charleroi, 0 nul, 7 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise.
Score final : Sporting Charleroi 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise. L'algorithme avait prevu Union Saint-Gilloise (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.