CD Feirense vs GD Chaves - Liga Pro - Journee 22 - samedi 14 février 2026 à 11:00
Stade : Estádio Marcolino de Castro
Score final : CD Feirense 1-0 GD Chaves
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CD Feirense favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.7 pour CD Feirense, 0.8 pour GD Chaves. GD Chaves a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire CD Feirense ✓ | 40% | 2,55 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 2,95 | -4,0% |
| Victoire GD Chaves | 30% | 2,80 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CD Feirense marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | - | - |
| GD Chaves marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 72% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 2,05 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,70 | -15,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,42 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 2,47 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 4,70 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,51 | -18,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,17 | -15,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour CD Feirense vs GD Chaves :
| Statistique | CD Feirense | GD Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,69 | 0,77 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 41% | 59% |
| Tirs | 4 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 0 |
| Corners | 2 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 53 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Feirense | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +1 | 28 | 1.71 | DWWWDL | 5.8/10 |
| GD Chaves | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 27 | 1.48 | LLLDLL | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, CD Feirense has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. CD Feirense has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Feirense has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
GD Chaves's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop CD Feirense from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
CD Feirense will be looking to keep up the momentum today against GD Chaves, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for CD Feirense, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (57% of all matches) involving CD Feirense has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that CD Feirense will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, GD Chaves has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. GD Chaves has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le GD Chaves peut-il inverser la tendance ? Ils n'ont pas gagné lors de leurs 5 derniers matchs avant celui-ci, avec 1 match nul et 4 défaites.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for GD Chaves recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for GD Chaves has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/21 games for GD Chaves this season.
GD Chaves will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1.1 goals per game.
CD Feirense a battu GD Chaves 1-0 en Liga Pro le samedi 14 février 2026 à 11:00 au Estádio Marcolino de Castro. xG du match : 0.7 pour CD Feirense, 0.8 pour GD Chaves. Possession : 41% pour CD Feirense, 59% pour GD Chaves. Tirs : 4 (dont 2 cadrés) pour CD Feirense, 6 (dont 0 cadrés) pour GD Chaves. Indice de forme : CD Feirense 5.8/10, GD Chaves 0/10. Sur 22 confrontations directes : 8 victoires CD Feirense, 7 nuls, 7 victoires GD Chaves.
Score final : CD Feirense 1-0 GD Chaves. L'algorithme avait prevu CD Feirense (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.