Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga - Liga Portugal - Journee 22 - samedi 14 février 2026 à 20:30
Stade : Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Score final : Gil Vicente 2-1 Sporting Braga
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting Braga favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Sporting Braga favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Gil Vicente, 1.2 pour Sporting Braga. Gil Vicente a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Gil Vicente ✓ | 26% | 3,65 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,25 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Sporting Braga | 45% | 2,18 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,48 | -1,0% |
| Sporting Braga marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,28 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,93 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,78 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,40 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,17 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 4,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,60 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,20 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga :
| Statistique | Gil Vicente | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,66 | 1,17 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 15 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 2 |
| Corners | 5 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 46 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 37 | 1.56 | DDWLWW | 6.5/10 |
| Sporting Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +26 | 39 | 1.55 | DDWWWW | 9.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Gil Vicente has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Gil Vicente has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Gil Vicente has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Sporting Braga's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Gil Vicente from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Gil Vicente a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Gil Vicente ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Gil Vicente will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sporting Braga, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Gil Vicente, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (38% of all matches) involving Gil Vicente has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Sporting Braga has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Sporting Braga has scored 16 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting Braga a récemment aimé jouer à l'extérieur, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de ses 3 derniers matchs.
Momentum is really building for Sporting Braga as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Sporting Braga has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Gil Vicente get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Sporting Braga, both home and away.
Sporting Braga has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Sporting Braga is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Gil Vicente, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 16 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Sporting Braga has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/21 games for Sporting Braga this season.
It's likely that Sporting Braga will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 16 goals in the last five games.
Gil Vicente a battu Sporting Braga 2-1 en Liga Portugal le samedi 14 février 2026 à 20:30 au Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. xG du match : 1.7 pour Gil Vicente, 1.2 pour Sporting Braga. Possession : 50% pour Gil Vicente, 50% pour Sporting Braga. Tirs : 15 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Gil Vicente, 11 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Sporting Braga. Indice de forme : Gil Vicente 6.5/10, Sporting Braga 9.1/10. Sur 22 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Gil Vicente, 5 nuls, 14 victoires Sporting Braga.
Score final : Gil Vicente 2-1 Sporting Braga. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting Braga (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.