Santa Clara vs Benfica - Liga Portugal - Journee 22 - vendredi 13 février 2026 à 18:30
Score final : Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica favori avec 58% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Santa Clara, 1.3 pour Benfica. Benfica a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Santa Clara | 17% | 6,00 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,85 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Benfica ✓ | 58% | 1,60 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,85 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Benfica marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,14 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,10 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,59 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,32 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,00 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,50 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,78 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,23 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Santa Clara vs Benfica :
| Statistique | Santa Clara | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,97 | 1,27 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 9 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 3 |
| Corners | 1 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 35 | 49 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -10 | 17 | 1.30 | LDLLLL | 0/10 |
| Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | +32 | 49 | 1.98 | DWWWDW | 8.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Santa Clara has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Santa Clara has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Santa Clara turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Santa Clara recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Santa Clara has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 48% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Santa Clara has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/21 games for Santa Clara this season.
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Benfica has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Benfica away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Benfica as they have now gone 21 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Benfica has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Benfica is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Santa Clara, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/21 games for Benfica this season.
Santa Clara a perdu contre Benfica 1-2 en Liga Portugal le vendredi 13 février 2026 à 18:30. xG du match : 1.0 pour Santa Clara, 1.3 pour Benfica. Possession : 53% pour Santa Clara, 47% pour Benfica. Tirs : 9 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Santa Clara, 11 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Benfica. Indice de forme : Santa Clara 0/10, Benfica 8.4/10. Sur 14 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Santa Clara, 2 nuls, 11 victoires Benfica.
Score final : Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica (58%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.