Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe - Süper Lig - Journee 22 - samedi 14 février 2026 à 17:00
Score final : Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Trabzonspor, 1.0 pour Fenerbahçe. Trabzonspor a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Trabzonspor | 25% | 3,40 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,60 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Fenerbahçe ✓ | 47% | 2,00 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,36 | -7,0% |
| Fenerbahçe marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,18 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,57 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,23 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,19 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,79 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 2,72 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,05 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe :
| Statistique | Trabzonspor | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,95 | 0,98 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 3 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 17 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 3 |
| Corners | 7 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +18 | 45 | 1.70 | DLWWDW | 6.8/10 |
| Fenerbahçe | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | +30 | 49 | 1.97 | WWWDWW | 9.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Trabzonspor has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Trabzonspor has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Trabzonspor at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Trabzonspor aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série en marquant lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Trabzonspor has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Trabzonspor as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Trabzonspor ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Trabzonspor will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fenerbahçe, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Trabzonspor, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (62% of all matches) involving Trabzonspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Trabzonspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Fenerbahçe away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Fenerbahçe when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Trabzonspor stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Fenerbahçe as they have now gone 21 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 13 games for Fenerbahçe ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Trabzonspor, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fenerbahçe, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (62% of all matches) involving Fenerbahçe has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fenerbahçe will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Trabzonspor a perdu contre Fenerbahçe 2-3 en Süper Lig le samedi 14 février 2026 à 17:00. xG du match : 1.9 pour Trabzonspor, 1.0 pour Fenerbahçe. Possession : 58% pour Trabzonspor, 42% pour Fenerbahçe. Tirs : 17 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Trabzonspor, 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe. Indice de forme : Trabzonspor 6.8/10, Fenerbahçe 9.7/10. Sur 25 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Trabzonspor, 8 nuls, 10 victoires Fenerbahçe.
Score final : Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.