Inter Milan vs Juventus - Serie A - Journee 25 - samedi 14 février 2026 à 19:45
Stade : Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Score final : Inter Milan 3-2 Juventus
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Inter Milan favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.6 pour Inter Milan, 1.6 pour Juventus. Inter Milan a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Inter Milan ✓ | 47% | 2,05 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,22 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Juventus | 25% | 3,86 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,22 | -3,0% |
| Juventus marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,44 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,85 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,83 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,33 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,13 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 27% | 3,70 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,67 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,25 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Inter Milan vs Juventus :
| Statistique | Inter Milan | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,57 | 1,57 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 60% | 40% |
| Tirs | 21 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 8 |
| Corners | 4 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 86 | 52 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 24 | 19 | 1 | 4 | +38 | 58 | 2.03 | DWWWWW | 2/10 |
| Juventus | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +21 | 46 | 1.94 | WWLWWD | 8.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Inter Milan has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Inter Milan has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Inter Milan at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Juventus's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Inter Milan from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Inter Milan as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Inter Milan has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
Inter Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Juventus, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Inter Milan has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/24 games for Inter Milan this season.
It's likely that Inter Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Juventus has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Juventus has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Juventus affiche une bonne dynamique et reste sur une série de 3 matchs sans défaite.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Juventus has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Inter Milan get in on the action today? There has been a total of 18 goals in the last 5 games for Juventus, both home and away.
Juventus will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Inter Milan, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Juventus has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/24 games for Juventus this season.
Inter Milan a battu Juventus 3-2 en Serie A le samedi 14 février 2026 à 19:45 au Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. xG du match : 2.6 pour Inter Milan, 1.6 pour Juventus. Possession : 60% pour Inter Milan, 40% pour Juventus. Tirs : 21 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Inter Milan, 10 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Juventus. Indice de forme : Inter Milan 2/10, Juventus 8.2/10. Sur 45 confrontations directes : 12 victoires Inter Milan, 13 nuls, 20 victoires Juventus.
Score final : Inter Milan 3-2 Juventus. L'algorithme avait prevu Inter Milan (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.