Croatie vs République Tchèque - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 19:45
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Croatie est favori de ce match avec 65% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Croatie | 65% | 1,40 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 19% | 4,80 | -2,0% |
| Victoire République Tchèque | 16% | 7,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatie marque (HS) | 88% | - | - |
| République Tchèque marque (AS) | 61% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 54% | 1,90 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 46% | 1,87 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 81% | 1,20 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 59% | 1,65 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 36% | 2,62 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 41% | 2,20 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 64% | 1,40 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Croatie vs République Tchèque :
| Statistique | Croatie | République Tchèque |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,26 | 0,69 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0,4 |
| Possession | 40,4% | 35% |
| Tirs | 11,2 | 6,8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3,6 | 1,2 |
| Corners | 3,8 | 1,6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40,4 | 23,2 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatie | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 3 | 1.26 | DWLLLL | 0/10 |
| République Tchèque | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 0 | 0.69 | WLLLLL | 0/10 |
Coming into this game, Croatia has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Croatia has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving Croatia has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Czech Republic get in on the action today? There has been a total of 21 goals in the last 5 games for Croatia, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Croatia, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Croatia has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Czech Republic has picked up 0 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Czech Republic has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Czech Republic ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Czech Republic turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 0 draws and 5 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Czech Republic recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Czech Republic has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Czech Republic has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Czech Republic this season.
Czech Republic will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.4 goals per game.
Croatie affronte République Tchèque en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 19:45. xG moyen : 1.3 pour Croatie, 0.7 pour République Tchèque. Buts moyens/match : 1 pour Croatie, 0.4 pour République Tchèque. Possession : 40.4% pour Croatie, 35% pour République Tchèque. Tirs : 11.2 (dont 3.6 cadrés) pour Croatie, 6.8 (dont 1.2 cadrés) pour République Tchèque. Indice de forme : Croatie 0/10, République Tchèque 0/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Croatie, 3 nuls, 0 victoire République Tchèque.
Notre algorithme favorise Croatie (65%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.