Israël vs Autriche - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45
Stade : Nagyerdei Stadion
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Autriche est favori de ce match avec 67% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Israël | 13% | 4,65 | -9,0% |
| Match nul | 20% | 4,30 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Autriche | 67% | 1,51 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israël marque (HS) | 51% | 1,40 | -20,0% |
| Autriche marque (AS) | 86% | 1,09 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 44% | 1,63 | -17,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 56% | 2,17 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 75% | 1,15 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 50% | 1,57 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 28% | 2,44 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 50% | 2,39 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 72% | 1,54 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Israël vs Autriche :
| Statistique | Israël | Autriche |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,9 | 1,91 |
| Buts marqués | 0,4 | 2 |
| Possession | 51,2% | 56,2% |
| Tirs | 7,8 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2,6 | 6,8 |
| Corners | 2,6 | 5,2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 29 | 57,8 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israël | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 3 | 0.90 | WLLDDD | 3.1/10 |
| Autriche | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 11 | 1.91 | DWWDDW | 5.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Israel has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Israel has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Israel has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Can Israel turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Israel recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Israel has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Israel has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Israel this season.
Coming into this game, Austria has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Austria has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Austria has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Austria as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Austria is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Israel, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Austria, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Austria has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Austria will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Israël affronte Autriche en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le mardi 17 novembre 2026 à 19:45 au Nagyerdei Stadion. xG moyen : 0.9 pour Israël, 1.9 pour Autriche. Buts moyens/match : 0.4 pour Israël, 2 pour Autriche. Possession : 51.2% pour Israël, 56.2% pour Autriche. Tirs : 7.8 (dont 2.6 cadrés) pour Israël, 16 (dont 6.8 cadrés) pour Autriche. Indice de forme : Israël 3.1/10, Autriche 5.9/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Israël, 0 nul, 3 victoires Autriche.
Notre algorithme favorise Autriche (67%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.