Espagne vs Angleterre - Ligue des Nations - Journee 6 - dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 19:45
Stade : Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Espagne est favori de ce match avec 64% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Espagne | 64% | 1,58 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 17% | 4,40 | -6,0% |
| Victoire Angleterre | 19% | 4,75 | -2,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue des Nations :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espagne marque (HS) | 91% | - | - |
| Angleterre marque (AS) | 72% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 65% | 1,56 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 35% | 2,27 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 88% | 1,11 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 70% | 1,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 49% | 2,27 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 30% | 2,55 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Espagne vs Angleterre :
| Statistique | Espagne | Angleterre |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,87 | 1,93 |
| Buts marqués | 2,8 | 3,2 |
| Possession | 65,6% | 59% |
| Tirs | 16,2 | 17,2 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 5,8 |
| Corners | 6 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 58,2 | 60,8 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espagne | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 15 | 1.87 | WWWWWW | 9.5/10 |
| Angleterre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 12 | 1.93 | WLWWWW | 8.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Spain has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Spain has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
L'Espagne sera confiante à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Momentum is really building for Spain as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Spain ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Spain is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against England, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Spain, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (80% of all matches) involving Spain has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Spain will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, England has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. England has scored 16 times in the last 5 fixtures.
England has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for England as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for England ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
England has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
England will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Spain, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for England has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for England this season.
It's likely that England will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 16 goals in the last five games.
Espagne affronte Angleterre en Ligue des Nations (journée 6) le dimanche 15 novembre 2026 à 19:45 au Riyadh Air Metropolitano. xG moyen : 1.9 pour Espagne, 1.9 pour Angleterre. Buts moyens/match : 2.8 pour Espagne, 3.2 pour Angleterre. Possession : 65.6% pour Espagne, 59% pour Angleterre. Tirs : 16.2 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Espagne, 17.2 (dont 5.8 cadrés) pour Angleterre. Indice de forme : Espagne 9.5/10, Angleterre 8.9/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Espagne, 1 nul, 1 victoire Angleterre.
Notre algorithme favorise Espagne (64%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.