Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona - La Liga - Journee 12 - dimanche 8 novembre 2026 à 20:00
Stade : Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Score final : Atlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Barcelona favori avec 49% de chances de victoire (nul 21%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Atlético Madrid, 1.9 pour Barcelona. Barcelona a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Atlético Madrid | 30% | 3,26 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 21% | 4,14 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Barcelona ✓ | 49% | 1,96 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,23 | -1,0% |
| Barcelona marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,13 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,33 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 30% | 3,20 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,07 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,33 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,80 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,40 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 2,06 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona :
| Statistique | Atlético Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,09 | 1,93 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 9 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 4 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 33 | 61 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 | 1.91 | WWWWWW | 2/10 |
| Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 | 2.30 | WWWWLW | 9.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Atlético Madrid has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Atlético Madrid has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
L'Atlético Madrid est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont gagné les 3 derniers matchs qu'ils ont joués à domicile.
Superb stuff from Atlético Madrid at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
L'Atlético Madrid aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Atlético Madrid has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Atlético Madrid as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Atlético Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Atlético Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Barcelona, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Atlético Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/11 games for Atlético Madrid this season.
It's likely that Atlético Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, FC Barcelona has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. FC Barcelona has scored 18 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by FC Barcelona and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Atlético Madrid end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for FC Barcelona when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Atlético Madrid stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for FC Barcelona ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
FC Barcelona will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Atlético Madrid, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for FC Barcelona, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (64% of all matches) involving FC Barcelona has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that FC Barcelona will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 18 goals in the last five games.
Atlético Madrid a perdu contre Barcelona 1-2 en La Liga le dimanche 8 novembre 2026 à 20:00 au Riyadh Air Metropolitano. xG du match : 1.1 pour Atlético Madrid, 1.9 pour Barcelona. Possession : 37% pour Atlético Madrid, 63% pour Barcelona. Tirs : 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Atlético Madrid, 19 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Barcelona. Indice de forme : Atlético Madrid 2/10, Barcelona 9.1/10. Sur 53 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Atlético Madrid, 12 nuls, 31 victoires Barcelona.
Score final : Atlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona. L'algorithme avait prevu Barcelona (49%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.