Aldosivi vs River Plate - Liga Profesional Argentina - Journee 16 - jeudi 5 novembre 2026 à 18:00
Stade : Estadio José María Minella
Score final : Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit River Plate favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.3 pour Aldosivi, 2.5 pour River Plate. River Plate a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Aldosivi | 26% | 7,50 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 29% | 4,40 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire River Plate ✓ | 44% | 1,43 | -26,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Profesional Argentina :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,75 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| River Plate marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,11 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 54% | 2,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,73 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,27 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,05 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,93 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,28 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Aldosivi vs River Plate :
| Statistique | Aldosivi | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,27 | 2,55 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 32% | 68% |
| Tirs | 2 | 23 |
| Tirs cadrés | 0 | 9 |
| Corners | 1 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 17 | 65 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 11 | 1.37 | WLLLWL | 2.3/10 |
| River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 23 | 1.81 | LWDWWL | 5.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Aldosivi has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Aldosivi has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
River Plate's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Aldosivi from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 6 home matches this season.
Aldosivi has fired blanks in 13 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 4 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Aldosivi, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (52% of all matches) involving Aldosivi has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Aldosivi will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 4 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, River Plate has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. River Plate has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
River Plate has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
River Plate will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Aldosivi, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 1 of the last 5 games for River Plate has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/35 games for River Plate this season.
Aldosivi a perdu contre River Plate 0-2 en Liga Profesional Argentina le jeudi 5 novembre 2026 à 18:00 au Estadio José María Minella. xG du match : 0.3 pour Aldosivi, 2.5 pour River Plate. Possession : 32% pour Aldosivi, 68% pour River Plate. Tirs : 2 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Aldosivi, 23 (dont 9 cadrés) pour River Plate. Indice de forme : Aldosivi 2.3/10, River Plate 5.4/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Aldosivi, 1 nul, 7 victoires River Plate.
Score final : Aldosivi 0-2 River Plate. L'algorithme avait prevu River Plate (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.