Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur - Premier League - Journee 10 - vendredi 27 octobre 2023 à 19:00
Stade : Selhurst Park (London)
Score final : Crystal Palace 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Tottenham Hotspur favori avec 51% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Crystal Palace, 0.9 pour Tottenham Hotspur. Crystal Palace a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Crystal Palace | 22% | 3,40 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,40 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Tottenham Hotspur ✓ | 51% | 2,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,39 | -7,0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,16 | -4,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,67 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,10 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,25 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,68 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,98 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,20 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,42 | -1,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur :
| Statistique | Crystal Palace | Tottenham Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,04 | 0,93 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 24% | 76% |
| Tirs | 14 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 11 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 35 | 54 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 | 1.35 | WWDWWW | 3.8/10 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 | 1.94 | WWDWWW | 8.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Crystal Palace has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Crystal Palace has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Crystal Palace has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Crystal Palace has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 7 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Crystal Palace ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 des 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Crystal Palace has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Crystal Palace has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/9 games for Crystal Palace this season.
Crystal Palace will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.78 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Tottenham Hotspur has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Tottenham Hotspur has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Tottenham Hotspur away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Tottenham Hotspur when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Crystal Palace stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Tottenham Hotspur as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Tottenham Hotspur is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Crystal Palace, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Tottenham Hotspur, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (56% of all matches) involving Tottenham Hotspur has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Tottenham Hotspur will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Crystal Palace a perdu contre Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 en Premier League le vendredi 27 octobre 2023 à 19:00 au Selhurst Park (London). xG du match : 1.0 pour Crystal Palace, 0.9 pour Tottenham Hotspur. Possession : 24% pour Crystal Palace, 76% pour Tottenham Hotspur. Tirs : 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Crystal Palace, 11 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Tottenham Hotspur. Indice de forme : Crystal Palace 3.8/10, Tottenham Hotspur 8.8/10. Sur 22 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Crystal Palace, 3 nuls, 15 victoires Tottenham Hotspur.
Score final : Crystal Palace 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur. L'algorithme avait prevu Tottenham Hotspur (51%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.