Moreirense FC vs Vitória Guimarães - Liga Portugal - Journee 10 - dimanche 5 novembre 2023 à 15:30
Stade : Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos)
Score final : Moreirense FC 1-0 Vitória Guimarães
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Vitória Guimarães favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Vitória Guimarães favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Moreirense FC, 1.2 pour Vitória Guimarães. Vitória Guimarães a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Moreirense FC ✓ | 27% | 2,65 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,25 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães | 46% | 2,65 | +8,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
| Vitória Guimarães marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 82% | 1,30 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 1,95 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,33 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 2,10 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 3,75 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,70 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,25 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Moreirense FC vs Vitória Guimarães :
| Statistique | Moreirense FC | Vitória Guimarães |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,14 | 1,24 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 13 | 18 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 12 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 40 | 63 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | 1.21 | LDLLWW | 5.4/10 |
| Vitória Guimarães | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 19 | 1.38 | WDLWLL | 5.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Moreirense FC has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Moreirense FC has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Moreirense FC aime jouer à domicile dernièrement, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de ses 2 derniers matchs.
Moreirense FC will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Moreirense FC as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Moreirense FC has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Moreirense FC will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Vitória Guimarães, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Moreirense FC has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/9 games for Moreirense FC this season.
It's likely that Moreirense FC will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Vitória Guimarães has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Vitória Guimarães as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 3 games involving Vitória Guimarães has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Moreirense FC get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Vitória Guimarães, both home and away.
Vitória Guimarães will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Moreirense FC, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Vitória Guimarães, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (44% of all matches) involving Vitória Guimarães has seen BTTS landing.
Moreirense FC a battu Vitória Guimarães 1-0 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 5 novembre 2023 à 15:30 au Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos). xG du match : 1.1 pour Moreirense FC, 1.2 pour Vitória Guimarães. Possession : 43% pour Moreirense FC, 57% pour Vitória Guimarães. Tirs : 13 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Moreirense FC, 18 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães. Indice de forme : Moreirense FC 5.4/10, Vitória Guimarães 5.8/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Moreirense FC, 3 nuls, 13 victoires Vitória Guimarães.
Score final : Moreirense FC 1-0 Vitória Guimarães. L'algorithme avait prevu Vitória Guimarães (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.