
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Newcastle United - Premier League - Journee 10 - samedi 28 octobre 2023 à 16:30
Stade : Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton, West Midlands)
Score final : Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Newcastle United
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Newcastle United favori avec 59% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme avait prévu Newcastle United favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Wolverhampton Wanderers, 1.4 pour Newcastle United. Wolverhampton Wanderers a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Wolverhampton Wanderers | 20% | 4,20 | -4,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 22% | 3,90 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Newcastle United | 59% | 1,80 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Wanderers marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,44 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Newcastle United marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,15 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,75 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,00 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,24 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,70 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,90 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,02 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,44 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Newcastle United :
| Statistique | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,43 | 1,39 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 43% | 57% |
| Tirs | 12 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 6 |
| Corners | 8 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 54 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | 1.23 | LLDWDW | 4.3/10 |
| Newcastle United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 16 | 1.64 | LWWWDW | 7.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Wolverhampton Wanderers has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Wolverhampton Wanderers has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Wolverhampton Wanderers has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Wolverhampton Wanderers sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Momentum is really building for Wolverhampton Wanderers as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyons quelques buts ici, les 6 derniers matchs de Wolverhampton Wanderers s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Wolverhampton Wanderers will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Newcastle United, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for Wolverhampton Wanderers has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a total of 7/9 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 78% of all matches played.
It's likely that Wolverhampton Wanderers will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Newcastle United has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Newcastle United has scored 17 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Newcastle United has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Newcastle United as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Newcastle United ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Newcastle United has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Newcastle United is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Wolverhampton Wanderers, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 17 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Newcastle United has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/9 games for Newcastle United this season.
It's likely that Newcastle United will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 17 goals in the last five games.
Wolverhampton Wanderers a fait match nul contre Newcastle United 2-2 en Premier League le samedi 28 octobre 2023 à 16:30 au Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton, West Midlands). xG du match : 1.4 pour Wolverhampton Wanderers, 1.4 pour Newcastle United. Possession : 43% pour Wolverhampton Wanderers, 57% pour Newcastle United. Tirs : 12 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Wolverhampton Wanderers, 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Newcastle United. Indice de forme : Wolverhampton Wanderers 4.3/10, Newcastle United 7.7/10. Sur 18 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Wolverhampton Wanderers, 8 nuls, 6 victoires Newcastle United.
Score final : Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Newcastle United. L'algorithme avait prevu Newcastle United (59%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.