Newcastle United vs Arsenal - Premier League - Journee 11 - samedi 4 novembre 2023 à 17:30
Stade : St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Score final : Newcastle United 1-0 Arsenal
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Arsenal favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme avait prévu Arsenal favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Newcastle United, 1.1 pour Arsenal. Arsenal a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Newcastle United ✓ | 32% | 2,60 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,65 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Arsenal | 36% | 2,68 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,32 | -5,0% |
| Arsenal marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,27 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,70 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,05 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,31 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,86 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,35 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,99 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,35 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Newcastle United vs Arsenal :
| Statistique | Newcastle United | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,87 | 1,1 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 10 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 2 |
| Corners | 0 | 11 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 38 | 78 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 17 | 1.62 | WWWDWD | 8.1/10 |
| Arsenal | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +15 | 24 | 1.66 | WWWWWW | 8.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Newcastle United has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Newcastle United has scored 18 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Newcastle United is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Newcastle United sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Newcastle United has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Newcastle United as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 5 derniers matchs de Newcastle United s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Newcastle United has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Newcastle United is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Arsenal, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 18 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Newcastle United has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Newcastle United this season.
It's likely that Newcastle United will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 18 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Arsenal has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Arsenal a gardé sa cage inviolée 3 fois lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, concédant 4 buts sur cette période. Au total cette saison, leur défense a gardé sa cage inviolée à 5 reprises.
Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Newcastle United, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Arsenal this season.
It's likely that Arsenal will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Newcastle United a battu Arsenal 1-0 en Premier League le samedi 4 novembre 2023 à 17:30 au St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne). xG du match : 0.9 pour Newcastle United, 1.1 pour Arsenal. Possession : 40% pour Newcastle United, 60% pour Arsenal. Tirs : 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Newcastle United, 15 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Arsenal. Indice de forme : Newcastle United 8.1/10, Arsenal 8.2/10. Sur 30 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Newcastle United, 4 nuls, 23 victoires Arsenal.
Score final : Newcastle United 1-0 Arsenal. L'algorithme avait prevu Arsenal (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.