Benfica vs Farense - Liga Portugal - Journee 13 - vendredi 8 décembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa)
Score final : Benfica 1-1 Farense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica favori avec 70% de chances de victoire (nul 18%). L'algorithme avait prévu Benfica favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 3.7 pour Benfica, 1.2 pour Farense. Benfica a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Benfica | 70% | 1,20 | -13,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 18% | 7,60 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Farense | 12% | 15,00 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 92% | 1,02 | -6,0% |
| Farense marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,85 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,90 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,80 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,10 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,52 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,10 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 32% | 2,70 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,70 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Benfica vs Farense :
| Statistique | Benfica | Farense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 3,69 | 1,16 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 67% | 33% |
| Tirs | 38 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 15 | 6 |
| Corners | 15 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 114 | 31 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 29 | 1.86 | WWWLWD | 7.6/10 |
| Farense | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +4 | 16 | 1.32 | LDWWWL | 5.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Benfica has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Benfica at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Benfica sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Benfica has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Benfica as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Benfica has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Benfica is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Farense, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/12 games for Benfica this season.
Coming into this game, Farense has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Farense has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Farense has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Farense ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Farense will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Benfica, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Farense, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (50% of all matches) involving Farense has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Farense will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Benfica a fait match nul contre Farense 1-1 en Liga Portugal le vendredi 8 décembre 2023 à 18:00 au Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa). xG du match : 3.7 pour Benfica, 1.2 pour Farense. Possession : 67% pour Benfica, 33% pour Farense. Tirs : 38 (dont 15 cadrés) pour Benfica, 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Farense. Indice de forme : Benfica 7.6/10, Farense 5.3/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Benfica, 1 nul, 0 victoire Farense.
Score final : Benfica 1-1 Farense. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica (70%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.