Gil Vicente vs Moreirense FC - Liga Portugal - Journee 13 - lundi 11 décembre 2023 à 20:15
Stade : Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)
Score final : Gil Vicente 1-1 Moreirense FC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Moreirense FC favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Moreirense FC favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Gil Vicente, 1.3 pour Moreirense FC. Moreirense FC a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Gil Vicente | 30% | 2,60 | -8,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 28% | 3,40 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Moreirense FC | 41% | 2,63 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,36 | 0,0% |
| Moreirense FC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,75 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,00 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,30 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,90 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 3,46 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 1,80 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,33 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Gil Vicente vs Moreirense FC :
| Statistique | Gil Vicente | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,06 | 1,28 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 42% | 58% |
| Tirs | 12 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 38 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 11 | 1.27 | LWDDWL | 2.2/10 |
| Moreirense FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 | 1.18 | LLWWWW | 8/10 |
Coming into this game, Gil Vicente has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Gil Vicente has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Gil Vicente has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Gil Vicente aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Gil Vicente has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 6 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Gil Vicente ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Gil Vicente turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
The last 5 games for Gil Vicente has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Gil Vicente has seen a total of 9/12 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 75% of all matches played.
It's likely that Gil Vicente will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Moreirense FC has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Moreirense FC has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Moreirense FC has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Moreirense FC as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Moreirense FC has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Moreirense FC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Gil Vicente, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 4 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Moreirense FC has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/12 games for Moreirense FC this season.
Gil Vicente a fait match nul contre Moreirense FC 1-1 en Liga Portugal le lundi 11 décembre 2023 à 20:15 au Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos). xG du match : 1.1 pour Gil Vicente, 1.3 pour Moreirense FC. Possession : 42% pour Gil Vicente, 58% pour Moreirense FC. Tirs : 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Gil Vicente, 14 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Moreirense FC. Indice de forme : Gil Vicente 2.2/10, Moreirense FC 8/10. Sur 12 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Gil Vicente, 4 nuls, 6 victoires Moreirense FC.
Score final : Gil Vicente 1-1 Moreirense FC. L'algorithme avait prevu Moreirense FC (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.