Al Raed vs Al Wahda - Saudi Pro League - Journee 15 - samedi 2 décembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : King Abdullah Sport City Stadium (Buraydah (Buraidah))
Score final : Al Raed 2-0 Al Wahda
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Wahda favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Al Wahda favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Al Raed, 1.0 pour Al Wahda. Al Raed a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Raed ✓ | 28% | 2,54 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,23 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Al Wahda | 42% | 2,67 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Raed marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,25 | -9,0% |
| Al Wahda marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,29 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,65 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,20 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,25 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,80 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,75 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,91 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,40 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Raed vs Al Wahda :
| Statistique | Al Raed | Al Wahda |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,3 | 0,98 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 44% | 56% |
| Tirs | 9 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 3 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 79 | 53 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Raed | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 9 | 1.17 | DLLDWL | 2.5/10 |
| Al Wahda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 19 | 1.44 | DLLWLW | 3.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Raed has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Al Raed has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Wahda's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Raed from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Al Raed has fired blanks in 6 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 9 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Al Raed, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (50% of all matches) involving Al Raed has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Al Wahda has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Al Wahda has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Al Wahda when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Al Raed stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 13 games for Al Wahda ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Al Wahda has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Al Wahda has seen a total of 10/14 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 71% of all matches played.
It's likely that Al Wahda will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Al Raed a battu Al Wahda 2-0 en Saudi Pro League le samedi 2 décembre 2023 à 18:00 au King Abdullah Sport City Stadium (Buraydah (Buraidah)). xG du match : 1.3 pour Al Raed, 1.0 pour Al Wahda. Possession : 44% pour Al Raed, 56% pour Al Wahda. Tirs : 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Al Raed, 11 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Al Wahda. Indice de forme : Al Raed 2.5/10, Al Wahda 3.4/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Al Raed, 3 nuls, 5 victoires Al Wahda.
Score final : Al Raed 2-0 Al Wahda. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Wahda (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.