Schalke 04 vs Osnabrück - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 15 - vendredi 1 décembre 2023 à 17:30
Stade : VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen)
Score final : Schalke 04 4-0 Osnabrück
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Schalke 04 favori avec 59% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Schalke 04, 0.7 pour Osnabrück. Schalke 04 a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Schalke 04 ✓ | 59% | 1,85 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 24% | 3,88 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Osnabrück | 17% | 3,85 | -9,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,09 | -7,0% |
| Osnabrück marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,38 | -13,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,53 | -15,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 2,38 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,14 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,53 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 2,25 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,38 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,57 | +5,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Schalke 04 vs Osnabrück :
| Statistique | Schalke 04 | Osnabrück |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,62 | 0,68 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 0 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 16 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 3 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 42 | 19 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -10 | 13 | 1.51 | LLWWLL | 2.3/10 |
| Osnabrück | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -19 | 7 | 1.27 | LLDLLW | 0.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Schalke 04 has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Schalke 04 has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Osnabrück's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Schalke 04 from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Schalke 04 ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Schalke 04, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (71% of all matches) involving Schalke 04 has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Schalke 04 will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Osnabrück has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Osnabrück has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Osnabrück ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Osnabrück turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Osnabrück recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Osnabrück has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Osnabrück has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/14 games for Osnabrück this season.
Schalke 04 a battu Osnabrück 4-0 en 2. Bundesliga le vendredi 1 décembre 2023 à 17:30 au VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen). xG du match : 1.6 pour Schalke 04, 0.7 pour Osnabrück. Possession : 58% pour Schalke 04, 42% pour Osnabrück. Tirs : 16 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Schalke 04, 9 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Osnabrück. Indice de forme : Schalke 04 2.3/10, Osnabrück 0.1/10. Sur 2 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Schalke 04, 1 nul, 0 victoire Osnabrück.
Score final : Schalke 04 4-0 Osnabrück. L'algorithme avait prevu Schalke 04 (59%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.