Sampdoria vs Lecco - Serie B - Journee 16 - samedi 9 décembre 2023 à 13:00
Stade : Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
Score final : Sampdoria 2-0 Lecco
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sampdoria favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Sampdoria, 1.4 pour Lecco. Sampdoria a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sampdoria ✓ | 50% | 1,67 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,70 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Lecco | 21% | 5,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,17 | -6,0% |
| Lecco marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,57 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,87 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,87 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,27 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,92 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 3,18 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,93 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,29 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sampdoria vs Lecco :
| Statistique | Sampdoria | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,61 | 1,41 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 52% | 48% |
| Tirs | 21 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 4 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 49 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 18 | 1.40 | DDWWWL | 6/10 |
| Lecco | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 16 | 1.43 | DDWLDW | 5/10 |
Coming into this game, Sampdoria has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sampdoria has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sampdoria is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Lecco's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Sampdoria from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
In the last 5 matches for Sampdoria, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (67% of all matches) involving Sampdoria has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sampdoria will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Lecco has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Lecco has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Lecco a enchaîné une bonne série et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Lecco has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Lecco will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sampdoria, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Lecco recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Lecco has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 47% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 4 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Lecco has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/15 games for Lecco this season.
Sampdoria a battu Lecco 2-0 en Serie B le samedi 9 décembre 2023 à 13:00 au Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova). xG du match : 1.6 pour Sampdoria, 1.4 pour Lecco. Possession : 52% pour Sampdoria, 48% pour Lecco. Tirs : 21 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Sampdoria, 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Lecco. Indice de forme : Sampdoria 6/10, Lecco 5/10.
Score final : Sampdoria 2-0 Lecco. L'algorithme avait prevu Sampdoria (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.