Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 17 - dimanche 10 décembre 2023 à 18:15
Stade : Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)
Score final : Sporting Charleroi 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Union Saint-Gilloise favori avec 51% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Sporting Charleroi, 2.1 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Union Saint-Gilloise a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting Charleroi | 23% | 4,64 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,82 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise ✓ | 51% | 1,57 | -13,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Charleroi marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,47 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,13 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,71 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,10 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,20 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,62 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 37% | 2,60 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,30 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,47 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise :
| Statistique | Sporting Charleroi | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,25 | 2,08 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 3 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 10 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 10 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 63 | 51 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Charleroi | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 17 | 1.45 | DWWWWW | 3.1/10 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +20 | 41 | 1.90 | WWDDWW | 9/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting Charleroi has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Sporting Charleroi has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Sporting Charleroi sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Sporting Charleroi has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 8 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Le Sporting Charleroi a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Sporting Charleroi recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Sporting Charleroi has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/16 games for Sporting Charleroi this season.
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Union Saint-Gilloise away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Union Saint-Gilloise when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Sporting Charleroi stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Union Saint-Gilloise ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sporting Charleroi, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (56% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Union Saint-Gilloise will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Sporting Charleroi a perdu contre Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 en Jupiler Pro League le dimanche 10 décembre 2023 à 18:15 au Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi). xG du match : 1.3 pour Sporting Charleroi, 2.1 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Possession : 53% pour Sporting Charleroi, 47% pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Tirs : 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Sporting Charleroi, 19 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Indice de forme : Sporting Charleroi 3.1/10, Union Saint-Gilloise 9/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Sporting Charleroi, 0 nul, 5 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise.
Score final : Sporting Charleroi 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise. L'algorithme avait prevu Union Saint-Gilloise (51%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.