Vitória Guimarães vs FC Arouca - Liga Portugal - Journee 17 - lundi 15 janvier 2024 à 20:15
Stade : Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 2-1 FC Arouca
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Vitória Guimarães favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.2 pour FC Arouca. Vitória Guimarães a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Vitória Guimarães ✓ | 50% | 1,93 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,40 | 0,0% |
| Victoire FC Arouca | 21% | 3,80 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,22 | -4,0% |
| FC Arouca marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,43 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 1,80 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,95 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,30 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 1,83 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 21% | 3,50 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,83 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,28 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Vitória Guimarães vs FC Arouca :
| Statistique | Vitória Guimarães | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,85 | 1,18 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 19 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 5 |
| Corners | 10 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 63 | 26 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória Guimarães | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 30 | 1.41 | DLWLLW | 5.9/10 |
| FC Arouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -1 | 16 | 1.39 | WDDDLL | 5.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Vitória Guimarães has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Vitória Guimarães has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Vitória Guimarães sera confiant à l'idée de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Vitória Guimarães has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 8 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Vitória Guimarães as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Vitória Guimarães is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Arouca, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Vitória Guimarães, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (56% of all matches) involving Vitória Guimarães has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Vitória Guimarães will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, FC Arouca has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. FC Arouca has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
FC Arouca a apprécié jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de ses 2 derniers matchs.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving FC Arouca has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Vitória Guimarães get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for FC Arouca, both home and away.
FC Arouca will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Vitória Guimarães, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
FC Arouca has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 13 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for FC Arouca has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/16 games for FC Arouca this season.
Vitória Guimarães a battu FC Arouca 2-1 en Liga Portugal le lundi 15 janvier 2024 à 20:15 au Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães). xG du match : 1.9 pour Vitória Guimarães, 1.2 pour FC Arouca. Possession : 49% pour Vitória Guimarães, 51% pour FC Arouca. Tirs : 19 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Vitória Guimarães, 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour FC Arouca. Indice de forme : Vitória Guimarães 5.9/10, FC Arouca 5.9/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Vitória Guimarães, 5 nuls, 3 victoires FC Arouca.
Score final : Vitória Guimarães 2-1 FC Arouca. L'algorithme avait prevu Vitória Guimarães (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.