Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli - Saudi Pro League - Journee 20 - vendredi 16 février 2024 à 17:00
Stade : Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium (Najran)
Score final : Al Akhdoud 3-2 Al Ahli
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Ahli favori avec 80% de chances de victoire (nul 13%). L'algorithme avait prévu Al Ahli favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Al Akhdoud, 1.9 pour Al Ahli. Al Ahli a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Akhdoud ✓ | 7% | 5,98 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 13% | 4,32 | -10,0% |
| Victoire Al Ahli | 80% | 1,35 | +6,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Akhdoud marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,60 | -7,0% |
| Al Ahli marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,07 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,75 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,17 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,55 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 2,40 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 2,30 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,58 | -13,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli :
| Statistique | Al Akhdoud | Al Ahli |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,78 | 1,89 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 56% | 44% |
| Tirs | 6 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 7 |
| Corners | 3 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 24 | 79 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Akhdoud | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | -12 | 20 | 1.21 | LWLWWD | 5/10 |
| Al Ahli | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | +22 | 40 | 1.72 | WLWWDW | 9.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Akhdoud has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Al Akhdoud has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Akhdoud is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Al Ahli's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Akhdoud from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.
Al Akhdoud has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Al Akhdoud has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Al Akhdoud will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Al Ahli, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour Al Akhdoud dernièrement, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancera-t-il un autre attaquant ?
Al Akhdoud has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 47% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Al Akhdoud has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/19 games for Al Akhdoud this season.
Coming into this game, Al Ahli has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Al Ahli has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Ahli has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Al Ahli when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 9 games they have played on the road. Can Al Akhdoud stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Al Ahli as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Al Ahli has kept 5 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 0 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Al Ahli is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Akhdoud, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Al Ahli has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/19 games for Al Ahli this season.
Al Akhdoud a battu Al Ahli 3-2 en Saudi Pro League le vendredi 16 février 2024 à 17:00 au Prince Hathloul Bin Abdul Aziz Sport City Stadium (Najran). xG du match : 0.8 pour Al Akhdoud, 1.9 pour Al Ahli. Possession : 56% pour Al Akhdoud, 44% pour Al Ahli. Tirs : 6 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Al Akhdoud, 15 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Al Ahli. Indice de forme : Al Akhdoud 5/10, Al Ahli 9.1/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Al Akhdoud, 0 nul, 1 victoire Al Ahli.
Score final : Al Akhdoud 3-2 Al Ahli. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Ahli (80%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.