Almería vs Girona FC - La Liga - Journee 20 - dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería)
Score final : Almería 0-0 Girona FC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Girona FC favori avec 44% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Girona FC favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Almería, 0.7 pour Girona FC. Almería a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Almería | 26% | 4,60 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 29% | 4,45 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Girona FC | 44% | 1,67 | -16,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almería marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,33 | -7,0% |
| Girona FC marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 79% | 1,10 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,53 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 76% | 1,17 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,43 | -19,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 2,20 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,70 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,65 | +10,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Almería vs Girona FC :
| Statistique | Almería | Girona FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,5 | 0,66 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 21 | 6 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 4 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 55 | 44 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | 19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -24 | 5 | 1.34 | LDLDLL | 0.9/10 |
| Girona FC | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +22 | 48 | 1.53 | DWWWDW | 8.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Almería has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Almería has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Almería has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Can Almería turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Almería recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Almería has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/19 games for Almería this season.
Coming into this game, Girona FC has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Girona FC has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Girona FC away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Girona FC when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 9 games they have played on the road. Can Almería stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Girona FC as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Girona FC ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Girona FC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Almería, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Girona FC, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (68% of all matches) involving Girona FC has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Girona FC will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Almería a fait match nul contre Girona FC 0-0 en La Liga le dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 13:00 au Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos (Almería). xG du match : 1.5 pour Almería, 0.7 pour Girona FC. Possession : 45% pour Almería, 55% pour Girona FC. Tirs : 21 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Almería, 6 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Girona FC. Indice de forme : Almería 0.9/10, Girona FC 8.1/10. Sur 23 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Almería, 6 nuls, 7 victoires Girona FC.
Score final : Almería 0-0 Girona FC. L'algorithme avait prevu Girona FC (44%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.