Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - La Liga - Journee 20 - mercredi 31 janvier 2024 à 20:00
Stade : Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Score final : Atlético Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Atlético Madrid favori avec 65% de chances de victoire (nul 21%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Atlético Madrid, 0.8 pour Rayo Vallecano. Atlético Madrid a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Atlético Madrid ✓ | 65% | 1,32 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 21% | 4,80 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Rayo Vallecano | 14% | 7,40 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,10 | -4,0% |
| Rayo Vallecano marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,65 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,91 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,22 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,66 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,80 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,23 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,45 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano :
| Statistique | Atlético Madrid | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,93 | 0,81 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 9 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 3 |
| Corners | 5 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 35 | 27 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | +19 | 44 | 1.50 | WWWWLW | 5.7/10 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 24 | 1.39 | LLDWLL | 2.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Atlético Madrid has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Atlético Madrid has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Atlético Madrid at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
L'Atlético Madrid aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Atlético Madrid has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Atlético Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/20 games for Atlético Madrid this season.
It's likely that Atlético Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Rayo Vallecano has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Rayo Vallecano has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Rayo Vallecano has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Rayo Vallecano recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Rayo Vallecano has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 48% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Rayo Vallecano has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/21 games for Rayo Vallecano this season.
Rayo Vallecano will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 0.86 goals per game.
Atlético Madrid a battu Rayo Vallecano 2-1 en La Liga le mercredi 31 janvier 2024 à 20:00 au Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid). xG du match : 0.9 pour Atlético Madrid, 0.8 pour Rayo Vallecano. Possession : 54% pour Atlético Madrid, 46% pour Rayo Vallecano. Tirs : 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Atlético Madrid, 11 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Rayo Vallecano. Indice de forme : Atlético Madrid 5.7/10, Rayo Vallecano 2.6/10. Sur 19 confrontations directes : 15 victoires Atlético Madrid, 3 nuls, 1 victoire Rayo Vallecano.
Score final : Atlético Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano. L'algorithme avait prevu Atlético Madrid (65%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.