Fiorentina vs Udinese - Serie A - Journee 20 - dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 17:00
Stade : Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Score final : Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fiorentina favori avec 53% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Fiorentina favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Fiorentina, 1.4 pour Udinese. Udinese a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fiorentina | 53% | 1,73 | -5,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 29% | 4,03 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Udinese | 18% | 5,29 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,16 | -8,0% |
| Udinese marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,63 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 1,95 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,34 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 41% | 2,00 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 20% | 3,57 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 59% | 1,78 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 80% | 1,30 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fiorentina vs Udinese :
| Statistique | Fiorentina | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,31 | 1,45 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 70% | 30% |
| Tirs | 11 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 7 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54 | 27 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 33 | 1.48 | WLWDWW | 6.8/10 |
| Udinese | 19 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -11 | 17 | 1.26 | LDDWDW | 3.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Fiorentina has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Fiorentina has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fiorentina is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Udinese's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fiorentina from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Fiorentina has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Fiorentina will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Udinese, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Fiorentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/19 games for Fiorentina this season.
Coming into this game, Udinese has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Udinese has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Udinese ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Udinese, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (58% of all matches) involving Udinese has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Udinese will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Fiorentina a fait match nul contre Udinese 2-2 en Serie A le dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 17:00 au Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze). xG du match : 1.3 pour Fiorentina, 1.4 pour Udinese. Possession : 70% pour Fiorentina, 30% pour Udinese. Tirs : 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Fiorentina, 13 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Udinese. Indice de forme : Fiorentina 6.8/10, Udinese 3.3/10. Sur 35 confrontations directes : 21 victoires Fiorentina, 4 nuls, 10 victoires Udinese.
Score final : Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese. L'algorithme avait prevu Fiorentina (53%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.