Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe - Süper Lig - Journee 20 - dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)
Score final : Gazişehir Gaziantep 0-1 Fenerbahçe
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 66% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Gazişehir Gaziantep, 2.1 pour Fenerbahçe. Fenerbahçe a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Gazişehir Gaziantep | 12% | 6,15 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 22% | 4,66 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Fenerbahçe ✓ | 66% | 1,54 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gazişehir Gaziantep marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,61 | -12,0% |
| Fenerbahçe marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,08 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,78 | -13,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,90 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,17 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,55 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 2,45 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,30 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,55 | +8,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe :
| Statistique | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,06 | 2,14 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 35% | 65% |
| Tirs | 7 | 21 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 7 |
| Corners | 4 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 37 | 90 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 21 | 1.21 | WLDWWW | 3.8/10 |
| Fenerbahçe | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | +40 | 50 | 1.88 | DWDWWW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Gazişehir Gaziantep has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Gazişehir Gaziantep has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Gazişehir Gaziantep has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Fenerbahçe's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Gazişehir Gaziantep from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Gazişehir Gaziantep as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Gazişehir Gaziantep will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fenerbahçe, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
Gazişehir Gaziantep has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 8 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Gazişehir Gaziantep, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (37% of all matches) involving Gazişehir Gaziantep has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 19 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Fenerbahçe away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Fenerbahçe as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Gazişehir Gaziantep, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 19 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fenerbahçe, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (53% of all matches) involving Fenerbahçe has seen BTTS landing.
Gazişehir Gaziantep a perdu contre Fenerbahçe 0-1 en Süper Lig le dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 16:00 au Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep). xG du match : 1.1 pour Gazişehir Gaziantep, 2.1 pour Fenerbahçe. Possession : 35% pour Gazişehir Gaziantep, 65% pour Fenerbahçe. Tirs : 7 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Gazişehir Gaziantep, 21 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe. Indice de forme : Gazişehir Gaziantep 3.8/10, Fenerbahçe 2/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Gazişehir Gaziantep, 0 nul, 7 victoires Fenerbahçe.
Score final : Gazişehir Gaziantep 0-1 Fenerbahçe. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (66%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.