Parma vs Ascoli - Serie B - Journee 20 - dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 15:15
Stade : Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
Score final : Parma 1-1 Ascoli
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Parma favori avec 53% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Parma favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Parma, 1.1 pour Ascoli. Parma a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Parma | 53% | 1,57 | -11,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 4,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Ascoli | 20% | 5,65 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,20 | -1,0% |
| Ascoli marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,63 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,00 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,75 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,33 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 27% | 3,75 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,67 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 73% | 1,25 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Parma vs Ascoli :
| Statistique | Parma | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,67 | 1,05 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 68% | 32% |
| Tirs | 20 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 3 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 66 | 35 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +20 | 41 | 1.49 | DWDDWW | 7.4/10 |
| Ascoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 17 | 1.27 | DDWLDW | 2.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Parma has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Parma has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Parma at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Ascoli's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Parma from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Parma as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Parma has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Parma is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Ascoli, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Parma has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/19 games for Parma this season.
Coming into this game, Ascoli has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Ascoli has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour Ascoli récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Ascoli has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Ascoli has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/19 games for Ascoli this season.
Ascoli will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 0.89 goals per game.
Parma a fait match nul contre Ascoli 1-1 en Serie B le dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 15:15 au Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). xG du match : 1.7 pour Parma, 1.1 pour Ascoli. Possession : 68% pour Parma, 32% pour Ascoli. Tirs : 20 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Parma, 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Ascoli. Indice de forme : Parma 7.4/10, Ascoli 2.4/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Parma, 1 nul, 2 victoires Ascoli.
Score final : Parma 1-1 Ascoli. L'algorithme avait prevu Parma (53%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.