Samsunspor vs Sivasspor - Süper Lig - Journee 20 - dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 13:00
Stade : Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun)
Score final : Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Samsunspor favori avec 39% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Samsunspor, 1.0 pour Sivasspor. Samsunspor a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Samsunspor ✓ | 39% | 2,30 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,50 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Sivasspor | 29% | 2,80 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,25 | -5,0% |
| Sivasspor marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,30 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,05 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,27 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,06 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 3,12 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,78 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,34 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Samsunspor vs Sivasspor :
| Statistique | Samsunspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,09 | 1 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 17 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 10 | 3 |
| Corners | 5 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 79 | 47 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -10 | 18 | 1.32 | DLWLDL | 4.8/10 |
| Sivasspor | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 25 | 1.42 | LWLWWD | 5.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Samsunspor has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Samsunspor has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Samsunspor has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Sivasspor's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Samsunspor from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Samsunspor will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sivasspor, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Samsunspor, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (61% of all matches) involving Samsunspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Samsunspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Sivasspor has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Sivasspor has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sivasspor has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
In the last 5 matches for Sivasspor, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (67% of all matches) involving Sivasspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sivasspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Samsunspor a battu Sivasspor 2-0 en Süper Lig le dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 13:00 au Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun). xG du match : 2.1 pour Samsunspor, 1.0 pour Sivasspor. Possession : 50% pour Samsunspor, 50% pour Sivasspor. Tirs : 17 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Samsunspor, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Sivasspor. Indice de forme : Samsunspor 4.8/10, Sivasspor 5.5/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Samsunspor, 2 nuls, 1 victoire Sivasspor.
Score final : Samsunspor 2-0 Sivasspor. L'algorithme avait prevu Samsunspor (39%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.