St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 20 - samedi 3 février 2024 à 12:00
Stade : Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Score final : St. Pauli 3-2 Greuther Fürth
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit St. Pauli favori avec 58% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.6 pour St. Pauli, 1.0 pour Greuther Fürth. St. Pauli a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire St. Pauli ✓ | 58% | 1,73 | 0,0% |
| Match nul | 24% | 3,60 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Greuther Fürth | 18% | 4,50 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,13 | -3,0% |
| Greuther Fürth marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,50 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,70 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 2,05 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,24 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,75 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 2,81 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,95 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,44 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth :
| Statistique | St. Pauli | Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,58 | 0,96 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 58% | 42% |
| Tirs | 21 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 15 | 4 |
| Corners | 7 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 23 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli | 19 | 10 | 9 | 0 | +19 | 39 | 1.76 | LWWLWW | 7.1/10 |
| Greuther Fürth | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 35 | 1.49 | WLWDDW | 7.8/10 |
Coming into this game, St. Pauli has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. St. Pauli has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from St. Pauli at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Greuther Fürth's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop St. Pauli from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for St. Pauli as they have now gone 19 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for St. Pauli ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
St. Pauli is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Greuther Fürth, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for St. Pauli, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (68% of all matches) involving St. Pauli has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that St. Pauli will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Greuther Fürth has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Greuther Fürth has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Greuther Fürth has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Greuther Fürth as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Greuther Fürth is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against St. Pauli, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Greuther Fürth, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (42% of all matches) involving Greuther Fürth has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Greuther Fürth will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
St. Pauli a battu Greuther Fürth 3-2 en 2. Bundesliga le samedi 3 février 2024 à 12:00 au Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg). xG du match : 2.6 pour St. Pauli, 1.0 pour Greuther Fürth. Possession : 58% pour St. Pauli, 42% pour Greuther Fürth. Tirs : 21 (dont 15 cadrés) pour St. Pauli, 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Greuther Fürth. Indice de forme : St. Pauli 7.1/10, Greuther Fürth 7.8/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 8 victoires St. Pauli, 5 nuls, 8 victoires Greuther Fürth.
Score final : St. Pauli 3-2 Greuther Fürth. L'algorithme avait prevu St. Pauli (58%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.