Watford vs Southampton - Championship - Journee 20 - samedi 9 décembre 2023 à 15:00
Stade : Vicarage Road (Watford)
Score final : Watford 1-1 Southampton
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Watford favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Watford favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Watford, 1.0 pour Southampton. Watford a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Watford | 35% | 2,70 | -2,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 3,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Southampton | 34% | 2,46 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,34 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Southampton marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,26 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,73 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,00 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,27 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,91 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 3,15 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,98 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,29 | -10,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Watford vs Southampton :
| Statistique | Watford | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,27 | 0,96 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 12 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 7 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +5 | 27 | 1.45 | DDLDWL | 6.5/10 |
| Southampton | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 37 | 1.66 | LLWWDW | 8.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Watford has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Watford has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Watford has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Southampton's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Watford from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Watford a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Watford ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Watford will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Southampton, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Watford ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Watford has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 10 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Watford has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/19 games for Watford this season.
Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Southampton has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Southampton away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Southampton when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Watford stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Southampton as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Southampton has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Southampton is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Watford, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Southampton has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/19 games for Southampton this season.
It's likely that Southampton will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Watford a fait match nul contre Southampton 1-1 en Championship le samedi 9 décembre 2023 à 15:00 au Vicarage Road (Watford). xG du match : 1.3 pour Watford, 1.0 pour Southampton. Possession : 40% pour Watford, 60% pour Southampton. Tirs : 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Watford, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Southampton. Indice de forme : Watford 6.5/10, Southampton 8.6/10. Sur 18 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Watford, 7 nuls, 8 victoires Southampton.
Score final : Watford 1-1 Southampton. L'algorithme avait prevu Watford (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.