Casa Pia vs FC Arouca - Liga Portugal - Journee 22 - dimanche 18 février 2024 à 15:30
Stade : Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)
Score final : Casa Pia 1-0 FC Arouca
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit FC Arouca favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu FC Arouca favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Casa Pia, 1.3 pour FC Arouca. FC Arouca a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Casa Pia ✓ | 24% | 2,82 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 2,96 | -3,0% |
| Victoire FC Arouca | 45% | 2,27 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,42 | -7,0% |
| FC Arouca marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,29 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,95 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,85 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,36 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,20 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 4,00 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,59 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Casa Pia vs FC Arouca :
| Statistique | Casa Pia | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,05 | 1,34 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 12 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 5 |
| Corners | 2 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 37 | 47 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -16 | 20 | 1.11 | DLWLLW | 1.3/10 |
| FC Arouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +6 | 28 | 1.39 | WDDDLL | 7/10 |
Coming into this game, Casa Pia has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Casa Pia has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Casa Pia peut-il inverser la tendance ? L'équipe n'a pas gagné lors de ses 5 derniers matchs avant cette rencontre, avec 1 nuls et 4 défaites.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Casa Pia recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Casa Pia has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Casa Pia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/21 games for Casa Pia this season.
Casa Pia will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 1 times and overall this season they have scored 0.9 goals per game.
Coming into this game, FC Arouca has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. FC Arouca has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
FC Arouca a apprécié jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de ses 2 derniers matchs.
Scoring is not an issue for FC Arouca when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Casa Pia stop this run?
Momentum is really building for FC Arouca as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 10 games involving FC Arouca has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Casa Pia get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for FC Arouca, both home and away.
FC Arouca will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Casa Pia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for FC Arouca, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (52% of all matches) involving FC Arouca has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that FC Arouca will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Casa Pia a battu FC Arouca 1-0 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 18 février 2024 à 15:30 au Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior). xG du match : 1.1 pour Casa Pia, 1.3 pour FC Arouca. Possession : 34% pour Casa Pia, 66% pour FC Arouca. Tirs : 12 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Casa Pia, 16 (dont 5 cadrés) pour FC Arouca. Indice de forme : Casa Pia 1.3/10, FC Arouca 7/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Casa Pia, 2 nuls, 2 victoires FC Arouca.
Score final : Casa Pia 1-0 FC Arouca. L'algorithme avait prevu FC Arouca (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.