Elversberg vs Osnabrück - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 22 - dimanche 18 février 2024 à 12:30
Stade : URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)
Score final : Elversberg 3-1 Osnabrück
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Elversberg favori avec 52% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Elversberg, 1.5 pour Osnabrück. Elversberg a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Elversberg ✓ | 52% | 1,69 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,95 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Osnabrück | 22% | 4,25 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,12 | -6,0% |
| Osnabrück marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,33 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,57 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,25 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,14 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,54 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 33% | 2,28 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,56 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Elversberg vs Osnabrück :
| Statistique | Elversberg | Osnabrück |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,55 | 1,46 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 14 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 51 | 46 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 29 | 1.38 | LLDLWD | 2.8/10 |
| Osnabrück | 21 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -24 | 12 | 1.31 | LLDLLW | 3.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Elversberg has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Elversberg has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Elversberg a aimé jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de 2 matchs.
Elversberg has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Elversberg ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Elversberg has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Elversberg has seen a total of 15/21 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 71% of all matches played.
It's likely that Elversberg will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Osnabrück has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Osnabrück has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Osnabrück has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Osnabrück has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Osnabrück will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Elversberg, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 0 and drawn 4
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Osnabrück recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Osnabrück has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Osnabrück has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/21 games for Osnabrück this season.
Elversberg a battu Osnabrück 3-1 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 18 février 2024 à 12:30 au URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg). xG du match : 1.6 pour Elversberg, 1.5 pour Osnabrück. Possession : 47% pour Elversberg, 53% pour Osnabrück. Tirs : 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Elversberg, 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Osnabrück. Indice de forme : Elversberg 2.8/10, Osnabrück 3.3/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Elversberg, 1 nul, 1 victoire Osnabrück.
Score final : Elversberg 3-1 Osnabrück. L'algorithme avait prevu Elversberg (52%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.