Hamburger SV vs Elversberg - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 23 - dimanche 25 février 2024 à 12:30
Stade : Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Score final : Hamburger SV 1-0 Elversberg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Hamburger SV favori avec 54% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.0 pour Hamburger SV, 1.5 pour Elversberg. Hamburger SV a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hamburger SV ✓ | 54% | 1,68 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 25% | 4,33 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Elversberg | 21% | 4,25 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,09 | -7,0% |
| Elversberg marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,32 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,44 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,63 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 80% | 1,12 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 58% | 1,38 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 2,02 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 2,90 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,71 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hamburger SV vs Elversberg :
| Statistique | Hamburger SV | Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2 | 1,47 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 19 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 68 | 48 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 38 | 1.76 | WWLWLD | 5.1/10 |
| Elversberg | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 32 | 1.39 | LDLWDW | 4.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Hamburger SV has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Hamburger SV has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Hamburger SV aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record d'au moins un but inscrit dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Hamburger SV has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Hamburger SV ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Hamburger SV, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (64% of all matches) involving Hamburger SV has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Hamburger SV will score today, as they have netted in the last 22 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Elversberg has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Elversberg has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Elversberg when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 11 games they have played on the road. Can Hamburger SV stop this run?
Elversberg has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Elversberg ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Elversberg will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Hamburger SV, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for Elversberg has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Elversberg has seen a total of 16/22 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 73% of all matches played.
It's likely that Elversberg will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Hamburger SV a battu Elversberg 1-0 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 25 février 2024 à 12:30 au Volksparkstadion (Hamburg). xG du match : 2.0 pour Hamburger SV, 1.5 pour Elversberg. Possession : 53% pour Hamburger SV, 47% pour Elversberg. Tirs : 19 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Hamburger SV, 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Elversberg. Indice de forme : Hamburger SV 5.1/10, Elversberg 4.7/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Hamburger SV, 0 nul, 1 victoire Elversberg.
Score final : Hamburger SV 1-0 Elversberg. L'algorithme avait prevu Hamburger SV (54%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.