Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe - Süper Lig - Journee 24 - samedi 3 février 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya)
Score final : Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 69% de chances de victoire (nul 20%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Antalyaspor, 1.8 pour Fenerbahçe. Fenerbahçe a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Antalyaspor | 11% | 5,09 | -9,0% |
| Match nul | 20% | 4,37 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Fenerbahçe ✓ | 69% | 1,67 | +9,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,53 | -18,0% |
| Fenerbahçe marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,11 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 41% | 1,77 | -15,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 2,00 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,22 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,67 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 2,74 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 2,10 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,43 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe :
| Statistique | Antalyaspor | Fenerbahçe |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,52 | 1,84 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 18 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 8 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 39 | 55 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 34 | 1.39 | DWDDWD | 5.8/10 |
| Fenerbahçe | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 60 | 1.97 | DWDWWW | 9.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Antalyaspor has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Antalyaspor has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Antalyaspor at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Antalyaspor as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Antalyaspor ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Antalyaspor is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Fenerbahçe, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Antalyaspor, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (57% of all matches) involving Antalyaspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Antalyaspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Fenerbahçe and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 11 away trips. Can Antalyaspor end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Fenerbahçe when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Antalyaspor stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Fenerbahçe as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Antalyaspor, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fenerbahçe, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (52% of all matches) involving Fenerbahçe has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fenerbahçe will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Antalyaspor a perdu contre Fenerbahçe 0-2 en Süper Lig le samedi 3 février 2024 à 16:00 au Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya). xG du match : 1.5 pour Antalyaspor, 1.8 pour Fenerbahçe. Possession : 54% pour Antalyaspor, 46% pour Fenerbahçe. Tirs : 18 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Antalyaspor, 16 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe. Indice de forme : Antalyaspor 5.8/10, Fenerbahçe 9.3/10. Sur 17 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Antalyaspor, 4 nuls, 9 victoires Fenerbahçe.
Score final : Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (69%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.