Samsunspor vs Galatasaray - Süper Lig - Journee 24 - vendredi 2 février 2024 à 17:00
Stade : Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun)
Score final : Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Galatasaray favori avec 68% de chances de victoire (nul 21%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Samsunspor, 1.7 pour Galatasaray. Galatasaray a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Samsunspor | 11% | 5,25 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 21% | 4,10 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Galatasaray ✓ | 68% | 1,53 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,44 | -20,0% |
| Galatasaray marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,11 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,63 | -18,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 2,10 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,19 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 2,24 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,58 | +8,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Samsunspor vs Galatasaray :
| Statistique | Samsunspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,64 | 1,66 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 18 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54 | 39 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 26 | 1.34 | DLWLDL | 6.1/10 |
| Galatasaray | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | +34 | 60 | 1.98 | WWWWLW | 9.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Samsunspor has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Samsunspor has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Samsunspor is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Samsunspor at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Galatasaray's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Samsunspor from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Samsunspor as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Samsunspor ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Samsunspor will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Galatasaray, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
In the last 5 matches for Samsunspor, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (61% of all matches) involving Samsunspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Samsunspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Galatasaray has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Galatasaray has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Galatasaray has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Momentum is really building for Galatasaray as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 6 derniers matchs de Galatasaray s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Galatasaray is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Samsunspor, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Galatasaray has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Galatasaray has seen a total of 12/23 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 52% of all matches played.
It's likely that Galatasaray will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Samsunspor a perdu contre Galatasaray 0-2 en Süper Lig le vendredi 2 février 2024 à 17:00 au Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu (Samsun). xG du match : 1.6 pour Samsunspor, 1.7 pour Galatasaray. Possession : 46% pour Samsunspor, 54% pour Galatasaray. Tirs : 18 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Samsunspor, 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Galatasaray. Indice de forme : Samsunspor 6.1/10, Galatasaray 9.2/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Samsunspor, 0 nul, 1 victoire Galatasaray.
Score final : Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray. L'algorithme avait prevu Galatasaray (68%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.