Arsenal vs Newcastle United - Premier League - Journee 26 - samedi 24 février 2024 à 20:00
Stade : Emirates Stadium (London)
Score final : Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle United
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Arsenal favori avec 69% de chances de victoire (nul 17%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Arsenal, 0.7 pour Newcastle United. Arsenal a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Arsenal ✓ | 69% | 1,38 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 17% | 5,50 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Newcastle United | 14% | 8,50 | +2,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 93% | 1,06 | -1,0% |
| Newcastle United marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,55 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,70 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 35% | 2,05 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 90% | 1,12 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,47 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 2,18 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 2,45 | -16,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,68 | -15,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Arsenal vs Newcastle United :
| Statistique | Arsenal | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,14 | 0,68 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 55% | 45% |
| Tirs | 19 | 4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 3 |
| Corners | 9 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 78 | 30 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | +36 | 55 | 1.81 | WWWWWW | 9.7/10 |
| Newcastle United | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +12 | 37 | 1.54 | LLWDWD | 4.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 21 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Arsenal ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Arsenal has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Newcastle United, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 21 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/25 games for Arsenal this season.
It's likely that Arsenal will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 21 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Newcastle United has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Newcastle United has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Newcastle United has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Newcastle United as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 7 games involving Newcastle United has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Arsenal get in on the action today? There has been a total of 26 goals in the last 5 games for Newcastle United, both home and away.
Newcastle United will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Arsenal, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for Newcastle United has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Newcastle United has seen a total of 14/25 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 56% of all matches played.
It's likely that Newcastle United will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Arsenal a battu Newcastle United 4-1 en Premier League le samedi 24 février 2024 à 20:00 au Emirates Stadium (London). xG du match : 2.1 pour Arsenal, 0.7 pour Newcastle United. Possession : 55% pour Arsenal, 45% pour Newcastle United. Tirs : 19 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Arsenal, 4 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Newcastle United. Indice de forme : Arsenal 9.7/10, Newcastle United 4.8/10. Sur 31 confrontations directes : 23 victoires Arsenal, 4 nuls, 4 victoires Newcastle United.
Score final : Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle United. L'algorithme avait prevu Arsenal (69%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.