GD Estoril Praia vs Portimonense - Liga Portugal - Journee 26 - vendredi 15 mars 2024 à 20:15
Stade : Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)
Score final : GD Estoril Praia 1-0 Portimonense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit GD Estoril Praia favori avec 63% de chances de victoire (nul 22%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour GD Estoril Praia, 1.5 pour Portimonense. Portimonense a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire GD Estoril Praia ✓ | 63% | 2,30 | +20,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 22% | 1,83 | -33,0% |
| Victoire Portimonense | 16% | 7,57 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,15 | 0,0% |
| Portimonense marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,55 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,78 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,00 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 80% | 1,20 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 35% | 2,68 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 1,91 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,39 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour GD Estoril Praia vs Portimonense :
| Statistique | GD Estoril Praia | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,37 | 1,47 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 41% | 59% |
| Tirs | 12 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 2 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 49 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -8 | 22 | 1.40 | LDWLLL | 0.9/10 |
| Portimonense | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -28 | 23 | 1.17 | LLDLDL | 0.2/10 |
Coming into this game, GD Estoril Praia has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. GD Estoril Praia has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Portimonense's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop GD Estoril Praia from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving GD Estoril Praia has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Portimonense get in on the action today? There has been a total of 21 goals in the last 5 games for GD Estoril Praia, both home and away.
GD Estoril Praia peut-il inverser la tendance ? Ils n'ont pas gagné lors de leurs 5 derniers matchs avant cette rencontre, avec 1 match nul et 4 défaites.
The last 5 games for GD Estoril Praia has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season GD Estoril Praia has seen a total of 17/25 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 68% of all matches played.
It's likely that GD Estoril Praia will score today, as they have netted in the last 16 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Portimonense has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Portimonense has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Portimonense turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Portimonense ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 4 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Portimonense has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Portimonense has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/25 games for Portimonense this season.
Portimonense will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 1 times and overall this season they have scored 0.96 goals per game.
GD Estoril Praia a battu Portimonense 1-0 en Liga Portugal le vendredi 15 mars 2024 à 20:15 au Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril). xG du match : 1.4 pour GD Estoril Praia, 1.5 pour Portimonense. Possession : 41% pour GD Estoril Praia, 59% pour Portimonense. Tirs : 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour GD Estoril Praia, 19 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Portimonense. Indice de forme : GD Estoril Praia 0.9/10, Portimonense 0.2/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 3 victoires GD Estoril Praia, 2 nuls, 4 victoires Portimonense.
Score final : GD Estoril Praia 1-0 Portimonense. L'algorithme avait prevu GD Estoril Praia (63%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.