Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal - Saudi Pro League - Journee 27 - vendredi 5 avril 2024 à 19:00
Stade : Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam))
Score final : Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Hilal
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Hilal favori avec 79% de chances de victoire (nul 13%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.7 pour Al Khaleej, 2.1 pour Al Hilal. Al Hilal a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Khaleej | 8% | 10,21 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 13% | 6,93 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Al Hilal ✓ | 79% | 1,21 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,85 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Al Hilal marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,03 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,85 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,80 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,13 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,43 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 2,21 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 2,55 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,67 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal :
| Statistique | Al Khaleej | Al Hilal |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,71 | 2,15 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 4 |
| Possession | 36% | 64% |
| Tirs | 13 | 23 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 8 |
| Corners | 2 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 26 | 80 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 34 | 1.19 | LDLDLL | 7.3/10 |
| Al Hilal | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | +63 | 74 | 2.13 | WWWDWW | 2/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Khaleej has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Khaleej has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Khaleej a apprécié jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
Momentum is really building for Al Khaleej as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Al Khaleej has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Al Khaleej is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Hilal, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Khaleej has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/26 games for Al Khaleej this season.
It's likely that Al Khaleej will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Al Hilal has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Al Hilal has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Al Hilal and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 8 and is unbeaten in 12 away trips. Can Al Khaleej end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Al Hilal when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 12 games they have played on the road. Can Al Khaleej stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Al Hilal as they have now gone 26 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 16 games for Al Hilal ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Al Hilal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Khaleej, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Al Hilal, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (46% of all matches) involving Al Hilal has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Al Hilal will score today, as they have netted in the last 26 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Al Khaleej a perdu contre Al Hilal 1-4 en Saudi Pro League le vendredi 5 avril 2024 à 19:00 au Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)). xG du match : 0.7 pour Al Khaleej, 2.1 pour Al Hilal. Possession : 36% pour Al Khaleej, 64% pour Al Hilal. Tirs : 13 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Al Khaleej, 23 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Al Hilal. Indice de forme : Al Khaleej 7.3/10, Al Hilal 2/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Al Khaleej, 0 nul, 9 victoires Al Hilal.
Score final : Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Hilal. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Hilal (79%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.