Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa - Süper Lig - Journee 27 - samedi 24 février 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi (İstanbul)
Score final : Fenerbahçe 2-1 Kasımpaşa
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fenerbahçe favori avec 72% de chances de victoire (nul 17%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Fenerbahçe, 0.9 pour Kasımpaşa. Fenerbahçe a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fenerbahçe ✓ | 72% | 1,20 | -11,0% |
| Match nul | 17% | 7,00 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Kasımpaşa | 11% | 10,00 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 92% | 1,02 | -6,0% |
| Kasımpaşa marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,60 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,66 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,05 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,05 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,43 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,73 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,57 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 2,10 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa :
| Statistique | Fenerbahçe | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,94 | 0,93 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 65% | 35% |
| Tirs | 18 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 3 |
| Corners | 4 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 62 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | +47 | 67 | 1.97 | DWDWWW | 8.3/10 |
| Kasımpaşa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 39 | 1.49 | LWLWDW | 7.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Fenerbahçe has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fenerbahçe has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Fenerbahçe at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Kasımpaşa's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fenerbahçe from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Fenerbahçe as they have now gone 15 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Fenerbahçe ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Fenerbahçe is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Kasımpaşa, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fenerbahçe, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (54% of all matches) involving Fenerbahçe has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fenerbahçe will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Kasımpaşa has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Kasımpaşa has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Kasımpaşa a aimé jouer à l'extérieur récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
Scoring is not an issue for Kasımpaşa when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Fenerbahçe stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Kasımpaşa as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Kasımpaşa ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Kasımpaşa will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Fenerbahçe, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
The last 5 games for Kasımpaşa has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Kasımpaşa has seen a total of 19/26 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 73% of all matches played.
It's likely that Kasımpaşa will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Fenerbahçe a battu Kasımpaşa 2-1 en Süper Lig le samedi 24 février 2024 à 16:00 au Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi (İstanbul). xG du match : 1.9 pour Fenerbahçe, 0.9 pour Kasımpaşa. Possession : 65% pour Fenerbahçe, 35% pour Kasımpaşa. Tirs : 18 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Fenerbahçe, 11 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Kasımpaşa. Indice de forme : Fenerbahçe 8.3/10, Kasımpaşa 7.4/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 17 victoires Fenerbahçe, 2 nuls, 1 victoire Kasımpaşa.
Score final : Fenerbahçe 2-1 Kasımpaşa. L'algorithme avait prevu Fenerbahçe (72%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.