CD Nacional vs AVS - Liga Pro - Journee 28 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 14:30
Stade : Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Score final : CD Nacional 2-1 AVS
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CD Nacional favori avec 43% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.5 pour CD Nacional, 1.5 pour AVS. AVS a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire CD Nacional ✓ | 43% | 2,10 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,20 | -2,0% |
| Victoire AVS | 27% | 3,00 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,22 | -3,0% |
| AVS marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,33 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,70 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,10 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,25 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,85 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 2,98 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,85 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,32 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour CD Nacional vs AVS :
| Statistique | CD Nacional | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,46 | 1,51 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 44% | 56% |
| Tirs | 12 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 3 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 39 | 72 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +19 | 52 | 1.60 | WDWDWD | 6.7/10 |
| AVS | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | +15 | 56 | 1.52 | WWWWDL | 6.4/10 |
Coming into this game, CD Nacional has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. CD Nacional has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from CD Nacional at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 12 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Le CD Nacional aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
CD Nacional has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 13 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for CD Nacional as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
CD Nacional is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against AVS, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for CD Nacional, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 18 matches (67% of all matches) involving CD Nacional has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that CD Nacional will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, AVS has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. AVS has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
AVS has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Scoring is not an issue for AVS when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 13 games they have played on the road. Can CD Nacional stop this run?
AVS has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
AVS will be looking to keep up the momentum today against CD Nacional, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for AVS has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/27 games for AVS this season.
It's likely that AVS will score today, as they have netted in the last 16 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
CD Nacional a battu AVS 2-1 en Liga Pro le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 14:30 au Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)). xG du match : 1.5 pour CD Nacional, 1.5 pour AVS. Possession : 44% pour CD Nacional, 56% pour AVS. Tirs : 12 (dont 6 cadrés) pour CD Nacional, 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour AVS. Indice de forme : CD Nacional 6.7/10, AVS 6.4/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 1 victoire CD Nacional, 0 nul, 0 victoire AVS.
Score final : CD Nacional 2-1 AVS. L'algorithme avait prevu CD Nacional (43%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.