Sporting CP vs Benfica - Liga Portugal - Journee 28 - samedi 6 avril 2024 à 19:30
Stade : Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Score final : Sporting CP 2-1 Benfica
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting CP favori avec 67% de chances de victoire (nul 20%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Sporting CP, 1.4 pour Benfica. Benfica a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting CP ✓ | 67% | 1,98 | +16,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 20% | 3,80 | -6,0% |
| Victoire Benfica | 13% | 3,20 | -18,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,18 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Benfica marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,36 | -19,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,62 | -14,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 2,15 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,23 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,61 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,82 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,23 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,42 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting CP vs Benfica :
| Statistique | Sporting CP | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,33 | 1,39 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 49% | 51% |
| Tirs | 15 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 7 | 13 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 56 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | +51 | 68 | 1.89 | WWDWWW | 9.8/10 |
| Benfica | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +40 | 67 | 1.93 | WWWLWD | 8.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting CP has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Sporting CP has scored 17 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting CP is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 13 games that they have played at home.
Le Sporting CP aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Sporting CP has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 13 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Sporting CP as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 23 games for Sporting CP ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Sporting CP is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Benfica, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 17 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Sporting CP, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (62% of all matches) involving Sporting CP has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Sporting CP will score today, as they have netted in the last 26 games coming into this one and have scored 17 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Benfica has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Benfica has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Benfica has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 6 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 14 occasions.
Benfica will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Sporting CP, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 12/27 games for Benfica this season.
Sporting CP a battu Benfica 2-1 en Liga Portugal le samedi 6 avril 2024 à 19:30 au Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa). xG du match : 1.3 pour Sporting CP, 1.4 pour Benfica. Possession : 49% pour Sporting CP, 51% pour Benfica. Tirs : 15 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Sporting CP, 15 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Benfica. Indice de forme : Sporting CP 9.8/10, Benfica 8.4/10. Sur 35 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Sporting CP, 10 nuls, 17 victoires Benfica.
Score final : Sporting CP 2-1 Benfica. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting CP (67%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.