CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid - La Liga - Journee 29 - samedi 16 mars 2024 à 15:15
Stade : Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
Score final : CA Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 42% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour CA Osasuna, 2.2 pour Real Madrid. Real Madrid a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire CA Osasuna | 27% | 5,50 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 31% | 4,00 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Real Madrid ✓ | 42% | 1,50 | -25,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,57 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Real Madrid marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,13 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,91 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,91 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,28 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,75 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 25% | 3,18 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,89 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid :
| Statistique | CA Osasuna | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,25 | 2,17 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 4 |
| Possession | 37% | 63% |
| Tirs | 11 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 11 |
| Corners | 5 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 45 | 54 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 36 | 1.25 | LWWDWL | 5/10 |
| Real Madrid | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | +42 | 69 | 1.81 | WWWWDD | 7.6/10 |
Coming into this game, CA Osasuna has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. CA Osasuna has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CA Osasuna has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
CA Osasuna will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Real Madrid, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 1 of the last 5 games for CA Osasuna has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/28 games for CA Osasuna this season.
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Real Madrid away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Real Madrid when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 14 games they have played on the road. Can CA Osasuna stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 22 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 14 occasions.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against CA Osasuna, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/28 games for Real Madrid this season.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 16 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
CA Osasuna a perdu contre Real Madrid 2-4 en La Liga le samedi 16 mars 2024 à 15:15 au Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea)). xG du match : 1.3 pour CA Osasuna, 2.2 pour Real Madrid. Possession : 37% pour CA Osasuna, 63% pour Real Madrid. Tirs : 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CA Osasuna, 19 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Real Madrid. Indice de forme : CA Osasuna 5/10, Real Madrid 7.6/10. Sur 26 confrontations directes : 2 victoires CA Osasuna, 6 nuls, 18 victoires Real Madrid.
Score final : CA Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (42%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.