Al Nassr vs Al Wahda - Saudi Pro League - Journee 30 - samedi 4 mai 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Al Awal Park at King Saud University (Ar-Riyāḍ (Riyadh))
Score final : Al Nassr 6-0 Al Wahda
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Nassr favori avec 79% de chances de victoire (nul 13%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.7 pour Al Nassr, 0.7 pour Al Wahda. Al Nassr a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Nassr ✓ | 79% | 1,29 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 13% | 6,30 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Al Wahda | 8% | 8,75 | -3,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nassr marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 94% | 1,02 | -4,0% |
| Al Wahda marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,53 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,20 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,10 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,34 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,84 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 3,32 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,97 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Nassr vs Al Wahda :
| Statistique | Al Nassr | Al Wahda |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,71 | 0,65 |
| Buts marqués | 6 | 0 |
| Possession | 66% | 34% |
| Tirs | 15 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 0 |
| Corners | 6 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nassr | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +49 | 71 | 1.90 | WWWDDW | 2/10 |
| Al Wahda | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -8 | 32 | 1.28 | LLWDDL | 2.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Nassr has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Nassr has scored 18 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Wahda's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Nassr from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 13 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Al Nassr as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Al Nassr has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Al Nassr is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Wahda, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 18 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Nassr has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 19/29 games for Al Nassr this season.
It's likely that Al Nassr will score today, as they have netted in the last 14 games coming into this one and have scored 18 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Al Wahda has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Al Wahda has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Wahda has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour Al Wahda ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou titulariser un autre attaquant ?
In the last 5 matches for Al Wahda, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (59% of all matches) involving Al Wahda has seen BTTS landing.
Al Wahda will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 5 times and overall this season they have scored 1.41 goals per game.
Al Nassr a battu Al Wahda 6-0 en Saudi Pro League le samedi 4 mai 2024 à 18:00 au Al Awal Park at King Saud University (Ar-Riyāḍ (Riyadh)). xG du match : 1.7 pour Al Nassr, 0.7 pour Al Wahda. Possession : 66% pour Al Nassr, 34% pour Al Wahda. Tirs : 15 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Al Nassr, 7 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Al Wahda. Indice de forme : Al Nassr 2/10, Al Wahda 2.4/10. Sur 14 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Al Nassr, 2 nuls, 3 victoires Al Wahda.
Score final : Al Nassr 6-0 Al Wahda. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Nassr (79%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.