Al Shabab vs Al Raed - Saudi Pro League - Journee 30 - samedi 4 mai 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
Score final : Al Shabab 2-0 Al Raed
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Shabab favori avec 57% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Al Shabab, 0.4 pour Al Raed. Al Shabab a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Shabab ✓ | 57% | 1,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 25% | 3,75 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Al Raed | 18% | 4,00 | -7,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,15 | -3,0% |
| Al Raed marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,38 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,68 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,75 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 2,95 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,05 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,38 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Shabab vs Al Raed :
| Statistique | Al Shabab | Al Raed |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,39 | 0,41 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Tirs | 14 | 4 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 2 |
| Corners | 10 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 55 | 17 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | +3 | 38 | 1.49 | WWLLLW | 8/10 |
| Al Raed | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 31 | 1.17 | DWLWLD | 4.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Shabab has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Shabab has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Raed's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Shabab from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Al Shabab as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Al Shabab has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Al Shabab will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Al Raed, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Shabab has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 14/29 games for Al Shabab this season.
Coming into this game, Al Raed has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Al Raed has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Al Raed when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Al Shabab stop this run?
In the last 5 matches for Al Raed, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (55% of all matches) involving Al Raed has seen BTTS landing.
Al Shabab a battu Al Raed 2-0 en Saudi Pro League le samedi 4 mai 2024 à 15:00 au Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh). xG du match : 1.4 pour Al Shabab, 0.4 pour Al Raed. Possession : 61% pour Al Shabab, 39% pour Al Raed. Tirs : 14 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Al Shabab, 4 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Al Raed. Indice de forme : Al Shabab 8/10, Al Raed 4.3/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Al Shabab, 8 nuls, 5 victoires Al Raed.
Score final : Al Shabab 2-0 Al Raed. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Shabab (57%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.